It’s a Wrap…2020, the year of the long term investor
While it is popular to dismiss 2020 as a terrible year, stock and bond investors who refused to panic can celebrate better than average portfolio gains. If one chooses to […]
Most of us share disgust at the events in DC this week even if we do not always agree on things political, economic or whatever. I recently read a book called “Like War” that illustrates how those who win the virality war on the internet tend to dominate real world events. There are foreign actors […]
This article confirms what I’m hearing anecdotally – people have been saving money during the Pandemic, with options for spending constrained. Meanwhile, our marvelous and ingenius people have found ways to work around Covid’s face-to-face constrictions and continue working and earning. Result: likely continued low interest rates and likely bull market […]
As suggested in our pre-election “what if” commentary, a split government is a net positive for the stock market. It appears that the election of the Bidan/Harris ticket was more of a repudiation of extreme behavior on the part of Donald Trump than an endorsement of a strong shift to the left in […]
The World Will (...) End with the Next Election (NOT) As we approach the November 3 election, I thought it might be useful to submit my thoughts on how different outcomes may affect the financial markets. These are the thoughts of someone with 46 years active involvement in financial markets: Markets have an uncanny way of “knowing” what the outcome will be, but this election is scrambled eggs so it’s hard to believe markets know what is coming. Let’s consider some possibilities:
Below is a graphic borrowed from the Wall Street Journal online, tracking equity performance both here and abroad for the year to date, as of September 30, 2020:
As this quarter wound down, unemployment is above 8 percent, the federal […]
I thought it might be helpful to drop a note to you. The company announced it was “splitting” its shares and issuing three new shares to common shareholders of record, while adjusting the price accordingly. This took place on August 31, 2020.
“Biology will drive the economy”. – Michelle Seitz, Russell Investments appearing on Bloomberg’s “Wall Street Week”
Equity markets continued a remarkable recovery that began in the last week of March right through this June quarter. The Standard & Poors 500 is now just 8% off last year’s December 31 close. […]
Beyond the challenges to slowing the progression of Covid-19 and the heroic battle being fought by our medical professionals, the economic uncertainty caused by extreme distancing measures have made society impatient for a resolution.
Business owners, out-of-work hair stylists, waitresses, Uber drivers (and politicians) are anxious for the crisis to […]
"Trust in God, but tie up your camel" attributed to the Muslim prophet Muhammed
"Though April showers come your way, they bring the flowers that bloom in May" as sung by Al Jolson in 1921
Suppose I told you about an investment that could lose you money but has a 97% likelihood of being profitable? Would you consider this an investment with good odds of success? According to most health experts who have been observing the progress of the Corona virus (AKA “Covid 19”), only 3% of those who contract the virus die. Looked at another way, 97% of those who contract it survive. For the 8 out of 10 who become infected, the course of the illness, for people in good health, is relatively mild. While I have no desire to minimize this health challenge we face, I cannot but wonder at the extent of the equity market swoon it has prompted. The media, the markets and many in government, education and the entertainment world are reacting as if this were something out of one of those apocalypse movies. Are they overreacting? Let’s examine. READ MORE